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Wednesday, 24 April 2019 14:19

Climate Change Means Fewer, Somewhat Stronger Hurricanes, Center Chief Says

(TNS) - A warming Earth may add slightly more muscle to heat-hungry hurricanes, but also slash the number that form by 25 percent by the end of the century as drier air dominates the middle levels of the atmosphere.

According to a presentation given this week at the National Hurricane Conference in New Orleans, climate change is expected to intensify storms by about 3 percent, or a few miles per hour, by the year 2100.

Global warming likely added 1 percent to Hurricane Michael's Cat 5 power, or 1 to 2 mph, said Chris Landsea, tropical analysis forecast branch chief at the National Hurricane Center.

"That is a fairly small increase and most of the computer guidance by global warming models say maybe we could see 3 percent stronger by the end of the century," said Landsea, who spoke during a session on hurricane history. "That's really not very much."

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https://www.govtech.com/em/preparedness/Climate-Change-Slightly-Stronger-but-Fewer-Hurricanes-One-Expert-Says.html